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| EAA - Ekonomisk kalkyl för jordbrukssektorn | JO 45 SM 0203 |
 Första sidan - I korta drag
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In EnglishSummary SummaryThe production value in agriculture is estimated to be much the same in 2002 as in 2001. The total harvest of cereals was "normal" in 2002, i.e. it was approximately the average of the last five years. The area under cultivation decreased by 4 % but hectare yields increased somewhat and were higher than normal. However, there were differences between different kinds of cereals. The harvest of wheat and rye decreased, partly because the area decreased. Another reason for the decrease in wheat harvest was that autumn wheat (with high yields) was partly replaced by spring wheat because of the weather conditions during the autumn of 2001 (with late harvest and a lot of rain). The harvest of barley and oats on the other hand increased and so did the areas. Preliminary producer prices for the harvest of 2002 show a decrease. For oilseeds both area and harvest increased by some 50 %. There was a strong price increase already in 2001 - and another small increase in 2002 - which explains the growing interest for these crops. The forecast for the potatoe harvest shows an increase but there are as yet no actual data. Producer prices have dropped during the first couple of autumn months. As for most crop products producer prices for animals have decreased, in particular for pigs after relatively high prices in 2001. Slaughter of both cattle and pigs is estimated to increase by 2 - 3 %. Product subsidies for cattle increased as a result of another rise in premium levels. To a smaller extent the increase is an effect of the change in the the exchange rate between the Swedish crown and the euro. The quantity of milk delivered to dairies is estimated to decrease somewhat during 2002 and so did deliveries of eggs to wholesalers. Prices of both milk and eggs have increased somewhat. Producer prices in agriculture as a whole are foreseen to decrease somewhat. Prices of the means of agricultural production on the other hand are forecasted to rise by 1 to 1,5 % from 2001 to 2002 and the value of intermediate consumption is estimated to have increased. Factor income is expected to decrease by 3-3,5 %. Around mid-December Eurostat will publish the first estimates of agricultural income in the member states in 2002. The development is usually measured by indicator A, i.e. the change of real agricultural factor income per annual work unit. On the assumption that labour input continues to fall (-4 %) and that the rise in the implicit price index of GDP is almost 2,5 %, indicator A will show a decrease by 1 to 2 % for Sweden. However, the uncertain factors must be stressed. List of tables 1.
Agricultural output, intermediate consumption and other costs at basic prices, List of terms
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