|EAA – ekonomisk kalkyl för jordbrukssektorn|
JO 45 SM 1201
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The value of agricultural goods output is expected to increase by almost 2 % in 2011 compared with 2010. Crop output is expected to increase by almost 1 %, while animal output is expected to increase by 3 %.
The total harvest of cereals is expected to be about 4.7 million metric tonnes in 2011. This is 9 % more than the harvest 2010 and about 3 % lower than the average of the last five years. The increase in the harvest for 2011 compared to 2010 can be explained by higher yields for some crops and an increase in the cultivated area 2011 compared with 2010. The output prices of cereals are expected to decrease by about 4 % for the crop year 2011.
The total harvest of rape and turnip rape in 2011 is expected to decrease by 5 % compared to 2010. The cultivated area decreased by 9 % in 2011 compared with 2010 and the prices are expected to be at the same level as for the crop year 2010.
The slaughtering of cattle is expected to be at about the same level as 2010. At the same time prices are expected to increase by 5 %. The slaughtering of pigs is expected to decrease by almost 3 %, but in the case of pigs the prices are expected to decrease by 11 % compared with 2010.
The quantity of milk delivered to wholesalers is expected to decrease by almost 1 % in 2011. The price of milk is expected to increase by 6 % in 2011.
The value of the output of the agricultural industry at basic prices is expected to increase by 2 % in 2011 compared with 2010. Cereals, forage plants and milk are examples of areas where an increase is expected, while potatoes and animals are areas where a decrease is expected.
Despite the increase in the value of the output of the agricultural industry, the net value added is expected to decrease about 10 % due to higher costs. At the same time the payments of subsidies are expected to increase and compensations of employees to decrease and thereby reduce the decrease in net operating surplus and the factor income to about - 2 %.
The factor income is calculated as the sum of production value and direct subsides less the expenses of intermediate consumption and fixed capital consumption.
List of tables
1. Agricultural output, intermediate consumption and other costs at basic prices in million SEK 2010 and a second estimate for 2011, index 2010=100
List of terms