Statens Jordbruksverk
Sveriges officiella statistik - Statistiska meddelanden
EAA – Ekonomisk kalkyl för jordbrukssektorn

JO 45 SM 1903

 

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In English

Summary
List of tables
List of terms

Summary

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The agricultural industry output is expected to increase in 2019, following the sharp, mainly drought related decline of 2018. The weather has been better and the autumn sown areas were relatively large in 2018, both contributing to a greater harvest in 2019. The expected crop output value increase is 10 % and that of the animal output is 2 %. When combined, this is expected to result in an increase of 6 %, or 3.6 billion SEK, in the overall output value of the agricultural industry in 2019.

Due to the larger harvest, crop prices are expected to decrease during the crop year 2019/2020. The feed prices, however, have remained relatively high and so have the overall expenses. Total production values are expected to increase and so are the subsidies, due to the devaluation of the Swedish crown and the considerable drought-related financial support. The entrepreneurial income is expected to increase by 72 % in 2019, or 3.6 billion SEK. 1.1 billion SEK out of this increase consists of subsidies.

The biggest contributor to this year’s expected increase in the agricultural sector output, as well as the decrease in 2018, is the crop output. For the crop year 2019/2020, the harvest of cereals is expected to increase by 88 %, while prices decrease by 30 %, resulting in an output value increase of 34 %. When compared to the average of the five crop years 2013/2014 to 2017/2018 instead, the cereal output value is still 13 % higher. The value of industrial crop output is expected to increase by 51 %.

The animal output is expected to increase in 2019 as well, but with more moderate percentages. The cattle output value is expected to increase by 2 %, as both prices and production have risen. A 1 % decrease is expected from the pig production output, as while the prices have increased 2 %, the volume has decreased by 3 %. Poultry is expected to have the most marked increase in output value in the animal sector, with increases in both prices and volume resulting in a 13 % overall increase. Lastly, the value of the dairy output is expected to increase, as higher prices outweigh a reduction in produced volumes. All in all, this gives an expected value increase of 2 % the total animal output.

As mentioned earlier, the output of the agricultural industry is estimated to increase by 6 % compared with 2018. The intermediate consumption is expected to increase as well, by 1 %. While feed costs have gone down somewhat, the cost of energy and other expenses have risen. Subtracting the intermediate consumption from the output value equals the gross value added, which is expected to increase by 21 %. Taking the fixed capital consumption into account results in the net value added, which is expected to increase by 78 %. Adding the subsidies on production, we get the factor income and it is estimated to 3.7 billion SEK in 2019, an increase of 29 % compared with 2018. Finally, the compensation of employees is expected to increase by 2 % and rents by 4 %, while interest rate expenses are expected to decrease by 4 %. This results in a net entrepreneurial income increase of 72 %, or about 3.6 billion SEK.

Eurostat plans to publish the EU member countries’ own estimates of their agricultural industry income in December 2019. Indicator A, the development in real factor income per annual working unit, is the most common one to use for comparisons. For Sweden, it is estimated to increase by 28 % in 2019, but this is still an uncertain prediction. The final estimate will be published in October 2020.

 

List of tables

 

Explanation of symbols

1. Agricultural output at basic prices, intermediate consumption and other costs 2018 in million SEK and a first estimate for 2019, index 2018=100

 

List of terms

Andra/Annan

Other

Animalieproduktion

Animal output

Animaliska produkter

Animal products

Arbetsinsats

Labour input

Arrende

Rent

Baspris

Basic price

Blommor och växter

Flowers and plants

BNP

GDP

Brutto

Gross

Bränslen och drivmedel

Fuels and propellants

Byggnader

Buildings

Djur

Animals

Djurfoder

Animal feed

Driftsöverskott

Operating surplus/Mixed income

Elektricitet

Electricity

Energi

Energy

Faktorinkomst

Factor income

Fjäderfä

Poultry

Foderväxter

Forage plants

Frukt och bär

Fruits

Får och getter

Sheep and goats

Färska

Fresh

Företagsinkomst

Entrepreneurial income

Förädlingsvärde

Value added

Handelsgödsel

Fertilizers and soil improvers

Havre

Oats

Hyreskostnader

Real estate rental charges

Hästar

Equines

Industrigrödor

Industrial crops

Icke-jordbruksaktiviteter

Non-agricultural activities

Insatsförbrukning

Intermediate consumption

Jordbruk

Agriculture

Jordbruksproduktion

Agricultural output

Jordbrukssektorn

Agricultural 'industry'

Jordbrukstjänster

Agricultural services

Jordbruksvaror

Agricultural goods

Kapitalförslitning

Fixed capital consumption

Kollektiva avgifter

Social security charges

Korn

Barley

Köksväxter

Vegetables

Löner

Compensation of employees

Maskiner och utrustning

Machinery and equipment

Mjölk

Milk

Netto

Net

Nötkreatur

Cattle

Oljeväxter

Oil seeds

Plantskoleväxter

Horticultural products

Potatis

Potatoes

Prisförändring

Change in price

Produkter

Products

Produktion

Production/Output

Produktionssubventioner

Subsidies on production

Proteingrödor

Protein crops

Råg

Rye

Ränteintäkter

Interest received

Räntekostnader

Interest paid

Sekundära

Secondary

Sockerbetor

Sugar beet

Spannmål

Cereals

Svin

Pigs

Underhåll

Maintenance

Utsäde

Seeds

Vegetabilieproduktion

Crop output

Vegetabiliska produkter

Crop products

Vete

Wheat

Veterinärkostnader

Veterinary costs

Växter

Plants

Växtskyddsmedel

Plant protection products and pesticides

Årsverken

Annual working unit

Ägg

Eggs

Övriga

Other