|Skördeprognos för spannmål och oljeväxter 2011|
JO 29 SM 1101
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Crop production forecast for cereals and oilseed crops in 2011
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This report provides forecasts concerning the yields per hectare and total production of cereals and oilseed crops for the year 2011. The results are presented in a national level.
The yields per hectare for every crop under cereals are estimated to increase with 11–23 % in 2011 year’s harvest compared to the year 2010. Highest increase is forecasted for winter barley. Even compared to the level of average yields per hectare during the five last years every crop is estimated to increase.
Compared with 2010 the yields per hectare of the oilseed crops are estimated to increase for all crops except winter turnip rape. The same pattern is found compared to the average yields per hectare of the previous five years.
The forecast shows that the total production of cereals is estimated to be 5.1 million tons for 2011, which is about 19 % higher than 2010 and 7 % higher than the average for the years 2006–2010. Higher yields per hectare in combination with a total increase in areas cultivated with cereals are the reasons behind the higher total production for 2011.
The area of oilseed crops in Sweden has for a couple of years steadily increased until now. The area cultivated with oilseeds 2011 decreased with 9 % compared with the harvested area in 2010. Despite higher yields per hectare this year’s harvest of oilseeds is therefore estimated to be in level with that of last year (0.28 million tons). Compared with the average total production in oilseeds for the last five years the estimation of 2011 year’s production is about 10 % higher.
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